As the world gets used to a U.S. president who launches the same sort of verbal missiles we're used to hearing from the North Korean regime, we had a new one hit the radar this week.
President Trump called out North Korean Leader Kim Jong Un on Twitter, saying "I too have a Nuclear Button, but it is a much bigger and more powerful one than his -- and my Button works.”
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THE U.S. HAS THE BIGGER (PROVERBIAL) BUTTON
Taking the president seriously, not literally - he's quite right that his proverbial “button” has a lot more going for it than North Korea's.
North Korea has an estimated 10 to 20 nuclear weapons, according to the Federation of American Scientists - and growing.
“North Korea has produced material for many more nuclear weapons,” said Hans Kristensen, who heads that FAS's nuclear information project. “The high-end of the estimates range from [enough material for] 30 to 60.”
As far as we know, none of North Korea's weapons are actually deployed for use yet.
By contrast, the United States has missile technology that can carry 10 warheads at once (it's called MIRV, and its use is limited by treaty to less than 10 missiles) and send them to ten different targets in a single shot.
The U.S. has a total estimated inventory of about 6,600 weapons - second only to Russia. 1,800 or so are deployed and ready to use.
Experts are a little puzzled by the president's tweet because North Korea already knows it's outgunned here.
“The fact even that they're developing nuclear weapons to have precisely that type of capability shows that they're fully aware of what's pointed at them,” Kristensen said.
So yes, the spirit of the president's tweet is true.
Still, we know some of you are thinking…
BUT WHAT ABOUT THE PHYSICAL BUTTON?
“Uh, no there's not a nuclear button,” Kristensen told us. “There's a nuclear football.”
The “football” is the nickname for a briefcase of materials needed to order a nuclear strike, carried by an armed military officer wherever the president goes.
Inside are a variety of attack scenarios and targets, along with a little-laminated card called the “biscuit.”
It's a card with secret codes to confirm the president is the one giving the order to strike.
That code goes to the Pentagon and strategic command, which then blasts a short encrypted message to nuclear submarines, bombers, and/or missile silos… containing yet more codes to unlock the weapons for firing.
And it does work. One former launch officer, who helped put together a detailed infographic on the launch procure for Bloomberg, says the first weapons can be in the air in about five minutes.
Kim Jong Un's button, if he has one, can't do that.
At least not yet.
While the world's power players try to make sense of the strategy, and whether there is one, behind the president's tweets — the message Trump aimed to convey about American nuclear prowess is both true and already known to leaders around the world.