DENVER - With Congressional approval rates hovering at all-time lows due to the shutdown, University of Denver Political Science Chair Seth Masket cautions against assuming the dissatisfaction is guaranteed to lead to a sea change in Congress next year.
"This will be a memory by then, a pretty distant memory. There will be a lot of things between now and then to consider," he said.
In addition, he said, recent history suggests it's awfully difficult to get rid of the incumbent. Since 2002, incumbents have routinely been reelected at a rate of more than 90 percent. In 2010, only 85 percent of incumbents were reelected, a statistical aberration when compared with others years.
"People hate Congress, but they tend to love their Congressman," Masket said.
Real Clear Politics combines polls in an effort to get a better idea of political preferences, and right now its polling data says then only 10 percent of the electorate is satisfied with the job Congress is doing.
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