DENVER — The state of Colorado as a whole, is having the second driest year on record through mid-October. Mountain snowpack is low, even at October standards, and Denver has only had 1 inch of snow so far.
With La Niña patterns, it is often not until the middle of December that the state starts to get regular or decent snow, but we could certainly use some moisture now.
There are a few prospects for some snow showing in the long range computer modeling.
This system stays north of Colorado for the most part but a cold front will sweep in Thursday bringing a chance for some light upslope snow.
The front should arrive to northern Colorado just after noon on Thursday. The temperatures appear to be cold enough to get a little snow accumulation in the Denver area and the rest of the I-25 corridor between Cheyenne and Monument Hill. With little moisture in this air, it may struggle to actually snow in most places though.
For the areas that do manage to get enough snow for accumulation, it will probably be less than a half inch. There will not be much action for the mountains with this one but there may be some in the foothills, especially to the north.
Cold Friday morning but no precipitation.
This next system has been trending upward in snow accumulation in today's modeling which is great news as this one draws closer.
The storm moves in early Sunday morning before sunrise. Models show some parts of northern Colorado like Ft. Collins getting some snow accumulation by 6am, and the Denver metro by 9am. Totals are now showing in the 1-4 inch range for totals by Monday morning and another inch or two between Monday and Tuesday.
The characterization of path and shape of this system has changed drastically over the last few days so there is little trust in these solutions yet though. It still shows a second surge of low pressure but it now dives far to the south and gets cutoff, which would bring some more snow to at least southern Colorado a few days later.
Even with those big changes from day to day, the one thing that is growing in confidence is a cold snow on Sunday on the Front Range and some significant snow in parts of the mountains.
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