COLORADO, USA — This snow blog will track the first few winter storms of 2020. A few could have some impact on the Denver metro area, but mountain impacts are the most likely at this point.

This will be updated once a day.

Saturday Update:

Jan. 21

This should be a fairly weak shortwave moving south of Colorado that will bring a light 1-4 inches of snow to the high country. 

Chance of snow in Colorado: 0%

Jan. 22-24

The forecast on this storm system has not improved any today, and in fact, it is starting to look like the Euro's original signal of the main impulse moving too far south to impact Colorado may end up verifying. 

Still could get some light snow in the high country, but as the solutions stand right now, there would be no snow accumulation in Denver, the foothills, the Palmer Divide, or the eastern plains. 

Still some time for changes, but with only 4 more days to go, it's not looking great for Denver to break this dry spell. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 10%

Jan. 25

This system is still showing in the modeling but is too far to the south to have any impact on Colorado. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 0%

Jan. 28 - Feb. 1

The GFS is still showing 2 different storm systems in this window. The first looks fast a weak, but the second one is showing one final shot at January snow in Denver on Jan 31.

Feb. 2 - Feb. 3

Showing as clear

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Friday Update:

Jan. 21

Weak impulse could bring an inch or two of snow to the mountains. Not really part of the following system. No alerts will be needed. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 0%

Jan. 22-23

The GFS and the Euro are finally coming into some agreement on this storm. Both show it hitting with similar timing and similar intensity, but the Euro is sticking to more of a split impulse. One piece moving to the north and the other to the south of Colorado. 

Still looks like Denver has a decent shot to see some snow accumulation with this system. It doesn't look like much, but it's our best chance in almost a month. 

Both models are favoring snowfall on the Palmer Divide at this point, with between 1-3 inches in the Denver metro. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 20%

Jan. 25

This system is now showing in both models. Not very impressive though. Maybe a little snow in the mountains. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 0%

Jan. 28 - Feb. 2

The GFS is showing a series of storms in this window with little impact to the Front Range.

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Thursday Update:

Jan. 16-17

Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories are scattered across the Colorado high country for a storm just moving into our area. 

The focus of this storm will likely be in the eastern San Juans, but some other parts of the mountains should do pretty well. 

San Juans Snow
Snow forecast in Southwest Colorado through Friday night.
KUSA

Snow should go on pretty heavy in the southern part over the state overnight, while the northern parts of the mountains get the bulk of their snow starting Friday morning. 

Central Mountains
Snow in the Central Mountains through Friday night.
KUSA
Northern Mountains
Snow expected in the Northern Mountains through Friday night.
KUSA

There will also be a wave of showers on the Front Range sometime late morning into Friday afternoon, but mostly just strong winds in the foothills and metro areas.

If they showers do sneak down low, they could be mixed with rain and sleet as temperatures could rise into the 50's quickly with those strong downsloping westerly winds. 

Snow accumulation is not expected to be very widespread on the Front Range. Maybe a half inch or so in parts of the foothills. 

Colorado Snow Forecast
Colorado snow forecast through Friday night
KUSA


Chance of snow in Denver: 10%

Chance of accumulation in Denver: 2%

Jan. 21

Weak impulse in front of a larger system could bring a quick inch or two to the Colorado high country. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 0%

Jan. 22-24

There has been a little consistency with the timing of this system in the GFS now focusing on Wednesday night into Thursday morning. It has now shown snow in the metro 5 runs in a row, which is becoming a very strong signal. 

It might not be too much in the way of accumulation, as temperatures may be a big issue for the first 12 hours of the storm, but the positioning of the storm is prime for upslope winds on the Front Range. 

The Euro model though, is telling the GFS to pump those breaks. It shows this storm weaker and too far south to impact the Front Range of Colorado. It has been fairly consistent with it's placement but not as consistent as the GFS.

So overall, not the strongest signal between the two models for Denver snow. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 15%

Jan. 25-26

This is a system that is only showing in the Euro. It could be the same signal that the GFS is picking up on for a few days prior because the Euro does show some metro snow with this one. 

Jan. 27-31

The GFS is showing two storm systems moving past in this time-frame today. This would be a flip from yesterday where it was showing clear. 

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Wednesday Update:

Jan. 16-17

There is a Winter Storm Watch out for the eastern San Juan Mountains for this storm that starts Thursday evening and goes through Friday night. 

Probably see a Winter Storm Warning issued soon for at least the Wolf Creek Pass area. 

SW CO Snow
San Juan snow forecast from Thursday through Friday night.
KUSA

A wave of showers should try to blast through the Denver area late Friday morning. It is possible for these to be snow showers, but the line will be thin if not broken, fast moving and light in nature, so accumulation is unlikely. 

snow forecast
Snow forecast for Colorado from Thursday afternoon to Friday night.
KUSA

That line could be a little stronger through the foothills, and on the plains northeast of Denver, so up to an inch of snow will be possible there. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 10% (most likely a wave sometime late Friday morning could bring a trace amount of snow)

Jan. 21

This could be just a really quick and weak shortwave in front of a larger system. 1-3 inches of snow possible in the high country. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 0%

Jan. 22-24

The look of this window has changed drastically with every run and the GFS solution is quite different from the Euro from run to run, but the overall signal for a little upslope snow continues to shine through. 

The GFS shows a strong southern storm track while the Euro shows a split jet with one piece of vorticity to the north and one to the south of Colorado. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 10%

Jan. 27-29

This system made another appearance in today's modeling. Also looks like it may bring a chance for some snow on the Front Range.

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Tuesday Update:

Jan. 15

Light but still somewhat organized snow will continue in parts of the high country overnight until about sunrise Wednesday. Another inch might be possible in spots. 

A few quick snow showers will be possible late tonight or tomorrow morning on the lower Front Range, but snow accumulation is unlikely. No models show any showers near the Denver area. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 2%

Jan. 16-17

The focus of this storm will likely be the San Juans where another 8-18 inches will be possible in a short amount of time. Winter Storm Warnings will probably be posted by sometime tomorrow. 

There should be some snow in the central mountains as well, but not much in the northern mountains. 

There may be a few snow showers on the Front Range as well on Friday morning. Snow accumulation is not likely in Denver or at DIA, but some of the surrounding areas could get a little. 

The Euro shows about a quarter of an inch to a half inch possible to the north and northeast of Denver. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 5%

Jan. 21-22

This system is not showing too much impact in Colorado, but should be able to bring a couple inches to parts of the high country, favoring the southern mountains. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 0%

Jan. 23-25

This storm is gaining some momentum with showing some snow in the Denver metro area. The GFS has shown at least a couple inches in Denver on 3 of the last 4 runs. 

This would be next Friday, so still a long ways away, but at least there is finally something interesting to watch.  

Jan. 27-29

This system did show up in the modeling again today, although it changed it's characteristics drastically from just 24 hours ago so we'll have to watch to see if it gains any consistency. 

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Monday Update:

Jan. 14-15

It's been a decent stretch of mountain snow over the last 5 days with 2 more to go. This next surge comes in tomorrow evening and will be focused on the northern mountains.

Could get another 1-3 inches in Steamboat, and maybe another 1-2 inches on some of the mountain passes. 

There is a slight chance a couple of quick showers make it down to the Front Range but snow accumulation is very unlikely. This would be late Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. 

This long period of active weather will end before sunrise on Wednesday. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 5% 

Jan. 16-17

The hazard board is finally clear of all winter weather alerts but expect some more to be added for this next storm which comes into the state on Thursday evening. 

The focus of this storm will likely be the San Juans where another 8-18 inches will be possible in a short amount of time. Winter Storm Warnings will probably be posted down that way. 

There should be some snow in the central mountains as well, but not much in the northern mountains. 

Still looks like snow around the Denver area will be unlikely. Maybe a few light showers on the eastern plains. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 0%

Jan. 21-22

This system is still showing up in the models today. Looks like it might be capable of bringing some snow to the San Juans again, but not much in other areas.

Chance of snow in Denver: 0%

Jan. 25-26

This storm has not been showing up as a very potent storm, but it has brought the most consistent signal for upslope snow in the Denver area. It only shows snow accumulation here on 2 out of every 4 runs though. 

Jan. 29-30

This will be one last chance to get measurable snow in Denver if it doesn't happen with the storm before this. Only twice in Denvers history has there only been a trace amount of snow in January. The last time being 2003. There has never been zero precipitation measured though, and that is where we currently are at, with no rain and only a trace of snow. 

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Saturday Update:

Jan. 11-15

We are in the middle of Storm One out of three successive storm systems that will take us to Wednesday morning. Mostly this means modest snow totals for the mountains individually, but cumulatively they are resulting in a few winter storm alerts on the mountain passes. 

Saturday: Light snow continues into the overnight hours. A few snow showers will make it down from the mountains tonight, but probably not much in the Denver area. The best chance for brief snow showers will be on the Palmer Divide or on the plains to the east of the metro. They'll be fast, so they'll only be capable of bringing about 1/2 inch of snow. 

Sunday:  1-2 inches of mountain snow through the day. Maybe a mixed shower on the eastern plains on Sunday morning, but it does not look like the Denver area will get one of these. They'll will also be fast, so they'll only be capable of bringing about a half inch of snow. 

Monday: 1-6 inches of mountain snow, mostly west of the Continental Divide. A few quick showers will be possible on the plains this day as well, but they'll be fast, so they'll only be capable of bringing about a half inch of snow. 

Tuesday: 1-3 inches of mountain snow. Scattered snow on the Front Range and plains possible on Tuesday night, but not much in the way of accumulation.

Wednesday: As this storm train wraps up there could be another couple inches of snow in the mountains Wednesday morning, and another shot of snow on the Front Range as well, but it will likely be quick and not much in the way of accumulation.

Even though Denver will have a shot at some snow every day for the next 5 days, it is most likely that there will be no snow accumulation in the city or at DIA.

Chance of snow in Denver: 10% (Tuesday likely less than an inch)

Jan. 16-17

Looks like this next storm will come in after about a 24 hour break. So far it's been looking like a decent storm for the San Juans with 6-10 inches possible. Some other mountains areas could do pretty good as well. 

Models have also been showing a shot at some snow in and around the Denver area on Friday, but it has only been showing less than a half inch.

Chance of snow in Denver: 0%

Jan. 21-23

Still a few small storm in this window, but not much impact to Colorado is shown. 

Jan. 24-25

The GFS just popped a storm into this window in today's modeling. 2 out of the 4 runs has shown snow on the Front Range. The other 2 showed nothing. 

Jan. 26-27

Clear.

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Friday Update:

Jan. 11-14

The next winter storm is already moving our way and will start bringing more snow to the Colorado high country tomorrow morning. There are Winter Weather Advisories out for some areas, and a Winter Storm Warning for Routt County. These are for a 3-day storm period, as the snow will be pretty continuous with little breaks in between. Tuesday's storm may be added or addressed separately by the National Weather Service. 

CO Snow
Snow forecast from the European model from Saturday morning to Monday night.
KUSA

Saturday: 1-3 inches of snow for the mountains mostly west of the Continental Divide. 

Sunday:  1-2 inches of mountain snow. Maybe a mixed shower on the eastern plains, but it does not look like the Denver area will get one of these. 

Forecast
3-Day snow forecast for the northern mountains
KUSA
forecast
3-Day snow forecast for the central mountains
KUSA
SW
3-Day snow forecast for the southern mountains
KUSA

Monday: 1-6 inches of mountain snow, mostly west of the Continental Divide. 

Tuesday: 2-4 inches of mountain snow. Scattered snow on the Front Range and plains possible, but not much in the way of accumulation. No models showed any snow near Denver in today's runs. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 10% (Tuesday likely less than an inch)

Jan. 17-18

This storm system is still showing in the models today, but the timing has sped up a bit. Still looks like 1-6 inches of mountain snow will be possible, with little to no impact to the Front Range. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 0%

Jan. 21-23

Still a few small storm in this window, but not much impact to Colorado is shown. 

Jan. 24-26

This window is shown as clear.

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Thursday Update:

Jan. 9-10

Ended up making it into the upper 40's today along the Front Range, even though a weak cold front slipped through. Behind that front, the moisture is starting to build.

Could get a snow shower or a mixed rain/snow shower this evening just after sunset along the Front Range. Then a stronger front moves through very early Friday morning bringing another chance at a snow shower. 

Plains Snow
Snow forecast for Northeast Colorado from 3pm Thursday to 11pm Friday.
KUSA

Snow totals are holding steady with about 1 inch of snow or less for most of the Denver area, Palmer Divide and Foothills. Best chance to get more than 2 inches would be on the plains to the east and northeast of Denver. 

Colorado Snow
Colorado snow forecast from this afternoon to Friday at 11pm. This includes the second round of mountain snow.
KUSA

If we get snow during or just before the morning commute on Friday, the temps will be plenty cold enough for it to stick to the streets. Even a quarter inch of snow can make things slick. 

No advisories anywhere in Colorado for this storm.

Chance of snow in Denver: 60% 

Chance of snow accumulation in Denver: 20% (Likely less than an inch)

Jan. 11-14

This very active storm pattern continues to show one surge of polar air after another, so if you live in the Colorado mountains, it may just feel like several waves of snow over the next six days or so. Minimal impact on the Front Range. 

Saturday: 1-3 inches of mountain snow. No advisories expected.

Sunday:  1-2 inches of mountain snow. Maybe a mixed shower on the eastern plains. Nothing for Denver. 

Monday: 1-4 inches of mountain snow. No advisories expected.

Tuesday: 1-4 inches of mountain snow. Scattered snow on the Front Range and plains possible, but not much in the way of accumulation. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 10% (Tuesday likely less than an inch)

Jan. 18-19

The GFS has refined this storm a little bit and shows 1-6 inches of mountain snow possible. It also shows flurries possible on the Front Range. 

Jan. 20-21

And this would be the final trough in this long stretch of storms. Colorado looks like it will just come up on the short end of this pattern with several small mountain hits, and very little to show for on the Front Range. 

Jan. 22-25

This window is shown as clear.

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Wedneday Update:

Jan. 8-10

A winter storm is just moving into Colorado tonight. There are no advisories posted for this very weak system. It is actually comes in two different stages. 

Light mountain snow tonight, and then another wave of light mountain snow Thursday night. It probably won't be until Friday until the Front Range can get some snow. 

Snow Forecast
Colorado snow forecast through 11pm Friday night.
KUSA

Very early Friday morning for some snow showers on the eastern plains. This is where the best chance at steady snow will be. The Euro is indicating a chance at 2-3 inches of snow in the counties along the Kansas state line. 

These snow showers will not likely be too steady Palmer Divide, so less than an inch is expected there. 

You may notice on snow accumulation model, that the Front Range snow hole is bigger today, and the over trend of the snowfall is going down. 

Plains Snow
Snow forecast for northeast Colorado through 11pm Friday night.
KUSA

There is a very high chance that the Denver metro area will not get any snow accumulation, although the Euro does show a quarter of an inch in the west and south metro. A quick shower will be possible anytime on Friday, but the morning and the evening would work best with temperature. 

System moves out of the state by late Friday night. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 25% 

Chance of snow accumulation in Denver: 10% (Likely less than an inch)

Jan. 11-15

The signal for his stretch continues to show several different surges of polar air arriving one right after the other here. None of these disturbances look very interesting for Colorado. 

It is quite possible that the Denver metro does not end up getting any snow out of this, and if it does, it will likely be less than an inch. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 10% (Most likely less than 1")

Jan. 18-21

GFS is still picking up on a few more troughs in this window, but is only showing a chance for light snow in the Denver area. 

Jan. 22-24

Clear in this window today.

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Tuesday Update:

Jan. 8-10

Some warm temps are likely across the state Wednesday before our next winter storm moves in. The first surge of energy will be focused on the western slope Wednesday night and through the day on Thursday. Then snow will make it onto the Front Range and adjacent plains on Friday morning. 

No alerts for the high country at this point, as just 1-4 inches of snow is likely, and winds should not be as big of an issue this time. There should be at least a wave of snow along the I-70 mountain corridor on Wednesday night, and then another one sometime Thursday evening. 

Euro Snow
Snow forecast from Wednesday night to Friday night.
KUSA

Snow may start in the Denver metro just before sunrise on Friday morning. Models are still consistently showing less than an inch of accumulation for most of us, including the Palmer Divide.

Looks a few foothills locations could get a couple inches, but the best chance to go over 2 inches would be the plains to the northeast and east of the Denver area.

Euro plains snow
Snow forecast for NE Colorado for Friday
KUSA

This storm should wrap up sometime last Friday night, but the next one will be coming in shortly thereafter.

Chance of snow in Denver: 55% (Mostly likely less than 1" Starting Friday morning)

Jan. 11-16

The signal for his stretch continues to show several different surges of polar air arriving one right after the other. A dominant or more clear signal for one of these days will likely emerge at some point, but that has not happened yet. 

Still looks to be pretty low impact to Colorado either way though. Light to moderate mountain snow, with a slight chance at some light snow in the Denver area. Likely Tuesday or Wednesday at this point. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 15% (Most likely less than 1")

Jan. 18-20

GFS was picking up on this signal again in today's runs, nothing too significant, but it has been showing another chance for snow in the Denver area with several separate systems.

Jan. 21-23

Clear in this window today.

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Monday Update:

Jan. 8-10

Colorado's next storm system moves in on Wednesday evening. Its actually several different surges of troughiness that will sweep down from Canada almost consecutively, but these first two are easy to separate out.

Should be able to deliver some snow to the Front Range but it still doesn't look like much at this point. 

Wednesday and Thursdays snow should be contained to the mountains. Looks like 1-4 inches will be possible. Probably no advisories unless blowing snow becomes an issue again. 

GFS Snow solution
GFS snow forecast from Wednesday evening through 11pm Friday night.
WeatherBell

The snow should move down to the lower elevations by Friday morning. Models have been consistent showing less than an inch for the Denver metro, the rest of the I-25 corridor, the foothills, and the Palmer Divide.

The area with the best chance to get more than 2 inches is the plains just northeast and east of Denver. 

Might not be much, but still planning on seeing some snow around here on Friday. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 35% (Mostly likely less than 1" Starting Friday morning)

Jan. 12-14

Looks like a pretty short break before a couple more systems move in. Very similar to it's predecessor, it looks like modest mountain snow and very light snow in the metro areas. 

Timing has changed with that for the third day in a row. Now showing Tuesday as the best chance in Denver.

Chance of snow in Denver: 20% (Most likely less than 1")

Jan. 18-19

This storm still showing as just mountain impacts.

Jan. 20-22

This window showed as clear yesterday, but has flipped now with the ridge to the east, and a light storm system in the west.

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Sunday Update:

Jan. 5-6

A weak storm system is moving into Colorado this afternoon. Some modest snowfall is expected in the northern mountains. Mostly between 1 to 4 inches, but there is a Winter Weather Advisory out for parts of the high-elevated areas like Rabbit Ears Pass where 4 to 8 inches is most likely. 

The advisory does extend into parts of the central mountains as well, mostly due to the likelihood of brief periods of low visibility from snow squalls and blowing winds Sunday evening. 

Sunday night snow
Snow accumulation through Monday night.
KUSA

There will be a few attempts tonight for some showers to slide onto the Front Range after about 6 p.m. These should be very fast and won't amount to much. Even if a few make it down, less than 5 percent of our population will see them.

Chance of snow in Denver: 2%

Jan. 8-10

This system will press further south and have more impact for the metro areas. 

It looks like snow may start falling in the mountains on Wednesday evening. So far this system looks very weak, only capable of producing between 1-4 inches of snow in the high country. 

Snow might not make it to the Front Range and the plains until Friday. If it comes through on Friday morning, the Denver area could get 1-3 inches of accumulation. If it comes in later in the afternoon, it will likely result in less than an inch of snow. 

Either way, not a very impressive system. The models have been very consistent in at least showing some widespread snowfall for the Denver metro, so there's a good chance that many of us get to see some snow later this week. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 25% (Mostly likely less than 1" Friday morning) 

Jan. 12-15

This system is still showing up today, but it appears to be a longer lasting batch of cold air that could send a couple different waves of storms at us in this window. 

Good chance that the Denver area will get at least a small dose of snow during this window. Does not look like a big deal at this point. 

Euro has the best chance at metro snow on Monday, Jan 13.

Chance of snow in Denver: 10%

Jan. 18-19

This trough has been shown in the modeling for two consecutive days now. It does not show an impact to the metro areas. 

Jan. 20-21

Clear

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Friday Update:

Jan. 5-6

As light snow winds down in the high country this evening, the next storm will move in on Sunday afternoon. This is still looking like a pretty weak storm, so no winter weather advisories will likely be posted. 

The Euro does show a couple of little mixed rain and snow squalls making it onto the plains on Sunday night, but snow accumulation is unlikely. That is the reason though that some snow is showing near Boulder, and out on the plains northeast of Denver.

There may be a high wind advisory issued for the foothills for Saturday as those downsloping westerly winds may get going pretty good. So far there is no indication that the National Weather Service will issue an advisory, but C-DOT will likely have a travel advisory out for the foothills. 

Those winds could warm the Front Range up nicely though. A high of 60 degrees is possible for much of the Denver metro Saturday. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 5%

Euro Snow Forecast
Euro snow forecast from Sunday evening through Monday at 6pm.
KUSA

Jan. 9-10

This storm system is still showing in the models with little change. Should be more of an impact for Colorado than but still pretty weak. 

Looks like another 1-4 inches of snow for parts of the high country, and a slight chance for a quick shower making it down onto the plains. 

The Euro and the GFS are both showing some quick snow on and around the Palmer Divide on Thursday night. Less than an inch though as the showers will probably move pretty quick. 

Neither model is showing any snow accumulation in the metro area in today's runs.  

Chance of snow in Denver: 5%

Jan. 12-14

This storm system is also still showing in today's modeling with little change. Still looks like the best chance for snow accumulation for the Denver metro area, although even that is not too impressive at this point. 

Looks like 3-6" potential for the mountains, and 1-3" potential for the metro areas. Mostly likely timing for metro snow would be next Sunday Jan. 12.

Chance of snow in Denver: 5%

Jan. 18-19

Storm system in this window has been showing new in today's modeling. 

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Thursday Update:

Jan. 5-6

The next winter storm to watch comes in on Sunday night. This will be a weak disturbance moving to the north of Colorado. Looks capable of 1-4 inches of snow in the northern mountain passes. Likely no advisories with this storm. 

Could send a backdoor cold front into the Front Range but not much impact for us though. Maybe a few scattered showers of mixed rain and snow. This would likely be Sunday night into Monday morning. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 5%

Jan. 9-10

This storm system is likely to push deeper south which would increase the chances of snow at the lower elevations. 

Doesn't look like it will be a very strong system. Based on today's modeling, there would be no advisories in the mountains or the plains with this storm, but we will have a chance to get a couple inches of snow in the Denver area and Palmer Divide. 

Only the GFS is showing enough snow for accumulation in the city. Thursday looks like the most likely day right now for either rain or snow in the metro. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 5%

Jan. 12-14

This storm is still shown in the modeling producing some snow in the Denver area on Sunday Jan. 12. So far nothing great, just a couple inches. My be a big enough storm for some advisories in the mountains. 

Jan. 17

Nothing else shown until the Jan 17.

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Tuesday Update:

Jan. 1-3

The New Year's Day storm is set to move into the northern mountains starting early Wednesday morning. Winter Storm Warnings and Advisories are posted for the Central and Northern Mountains. 

warnings
Winter Storm Warnings (red), Winter Weather Advisories (blue) are in place until late Thursday night.
KUSA

In the mountain towns listed in the advisory, 5-10 inches of accumulation will be possible. The Euro is still indicating a chance of a little more in Steamboat Springs. 

Steamboat Resort could get between 8-18 inches along with other parts of the Park Range, Elkhead Mountains, and Flattops. The bulk of the snow will come through the day on Wednesday but continue Thursday and Friday as well. 

Snow
Snow forecast for Wednesday and Thursday
KUSA

On the Front Range, it will be all westerly downsloping winds. It could make it up to 50 degrees in Denver by 2 p.m. with the help of those warm dry winds, but a few waves of showers will likely make it over the mountains. 

RELATED: Mild weather to start the new year

The best chance for a mix of rain, sleet, and snow showers in the Denver area will be in the afternoon and evening Wednesday, although passing showers will be possible Thursday morning, and evening as well. They are just less likely. 

Snow accumulation is not likely in the metro areas, the foothills, or eastern plains. I could see parts of the Palmer Divide getting between a half inch and an inch of snow on the ground from one of these squalls. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 5%

Jan. 5-7

This storm is still shown in the modeling moving to the north of Colorado. It could bring some light snow to the northern mountains Sunday night through Tuesday morning. 

Models are also still showing some snow in Denver on Monday afternoon. It does not appear to be a big deal at this point. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 15%

Jan. 9-10

There are still a couple of quick storms in this window. Mountain impacts look possible. There are no consistent signals for the metro area. In the most recent runs, the GFS does not show snow in Denver. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 0%

Jan. 12-13

Active storm pattern continues to be shown in the modeling. A storm has popped up on Jan. 12 with a little snow in Denver on the last couple runs. 

Jan. 14-16

Another storm is shown close to Colorado in this window. No concerns at this point.

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Monday Entry:

Jan. 1-3

The next winter storm moves into Colorado on Wednesday morning. The focus will be the northern mountains but there could be some mixed rain and snow showers on the Front Range.

Northern Mountains Snow Forecast
Snow forecast from the European Model for Wed-Thur.
KUSA

There are no warnings or advisories posted for this storm just yet, but that will happen soon. There are 10-16 inches of snow possible in a 48 hour period for the passes in the Park Range and Flattops. 

We could even see a warning in the city of Steamboat Springs with as much as 12 inches being shown possible by the European model. That is also over a 48-hour period, but quite a bit of that could fall on Wednesday.

Front Range snow
Snow forecast from the Euro on the Front Range through late Thursday night.
KUSA

On the Front Range, it will be mostly westerly downsloping winds. This could even warm us up into the '50s on New Years Day. Those winds should be able to keep most of the snow off the Front Range foothills and metro areas, but modeling does show a few mixed rain and snow showers in the area both days.

RELATED: Warming up through the New Year! Highs in the 50s Wednesday

The best chance to get snow accumulation in the Denver area would be Wednesday evening or Thursday morning, and then maybe another show on Friday morning. The character of these showers will likely be spotty convective showers as opposed to stratus layer snowfall. That will limit the coverage but could mean a heavy squall is possible in spots if the temps are low enough. 

As of today, neither the NAM, Euro, or GFS are showing any showers heavy enough to give Denver snow accumulation, but the surrounding areas could get a little dusting. 

Euro snow
Statewide Euro snow forecast through late Thursday night.
KUSA

A little more favorable wind profile could exist on the eastern plains where snow showers might become a little bit more organized. Most modeling has been showing 1-3 inches of accumulation possible. Same timing, mostly Wednesday night and Thursday morning. No advisories are likely outside of the mountains. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 10%

Jan. 6-7

This appears to be a weaker northern storm track with some light mountain snow accumulation, but models have been showing a backing cold front possible which could bring some brief upslope to the Front Range. 

So far it looks like just a couple inches will be possible. 

Chance of snow in Denver: 10%

Jan. 8-12

The GFS shows a very active storm pattern in this window with several storms coming close to Colorado, but with little impact to the Front Range.

Jan. 13-15

No storms are shown in this window in today's modeling. 

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